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Calgary Housing Market 2026 Outlook: Rising Supply, Slower Demand, A Shift Toward Buyer-Friendly Conditions

Calgary Housing Market 2026 Outlook: Rising Supply, Slower Demand, A Shift Toward Buyer-Friendly Conditions

1️⃣ Market Direction: From Seller’s Market → Balanced / Buyer-Leaning

Calgary’s housing market has transitioned from strong seller-driven conditions into a more balanced environment, with this trend expected to continue through 2026. The shift is not caused by a collapse in demand, but rather supply growth outpacing demand. 2026 CREB Forecast Report

Key drivers:
• New home, resale, and rental supply all increasing
• Migration growth slowing
• Sales returning to long-term averages

This signals normalization, not downturn. 2026 CREB Forecast Report

2️⃣ 2026 Price Forecast by Property Type

Property Type2026 Price Outlook
Apartment / Condo-3.5%
Row / Townhome-1.9%
Semi-Detached+0.8%
Detached+0.1%
Total Residential-0.9%

Higher-density segments face pressure from increased inventory, while detached and semi-detached homes are expected to remain largely stable. 2026 CREB Forecast Report

3️⃣ Why Supply Is Rising

• 2025 housing starts near record highs
26,000+ units currently under construction
• Nearly half of new supply is rental

As completions continue in 2026, inventory levels are expected to remain elevated, limiting price growth. 2026 CREB Forecast Report

4️⃣ Rental Market Cooling

• Vacancy rates rising
• Rent growth slowing
• International migration declining

More rental supply + slower demand = weaker investor momentum, especially impacting the condo segment. 2026 CREB Forecast Report

5️⃣ Economic Backdrop

Indicator2026 Outlook
Alberta GDP Growth~2.1%
WTI Oil Price~US$65
Employment GrowthSlowing
Calgary Population Growth~1.3% (down from ~3%)
Interest RatesStable

The economy remains resilient, but no longer in an expansionary surge — contributing to a cooling housing market environment.

CREB® 2026 Forecast Calgary and Region Yearly Outlook Report

https://www.creblink.com/-/media/Public/CREBcom/Housing_Statistics/2026_Forecast/2026_Forecast_Report.pdf

REAB | reab.ca

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Data is supplied by Pillar 9™ MLS® System. Pillar 9™ is the owner of the copyright in its MLS®System. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by Pillar 9™.
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